GeopoliticsResolved

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$4.61M
61,385 trades
Smart Whales
1104
of 9,583 traders

Smart Money Consensus

617 YESvs487 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $401 is directional: YES $0·NO $401

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 56% YES: Israel launch a major ground offensive…