Academic-Capitalism · Polymarket wallet 0x706f…6026

Wallet snapshot

Academic-Capitalism has made 43 trades on Polymarket across 21 markets, $244 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and politics (23%). On 18 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$2. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $20 · 97¢ → 98¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $6 · 75¢ → 84¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes · $1 · 59¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Xi Jinping out in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes · $0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No · +$0 · Jan 1, 2026
• Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Yes · +$0 · Dec 23, 2025
• Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes · +$0 · Dec 15, 2025

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.