Poised-Bet · Polymarket wallet 0x698a…fe0d

Wallet snapshot

Poised-Bet has made 1,630 trades on Polymarket across 263 markets, $202K in volume. Most of it is in politics (25%) and geopolitics (24%). On 238 resolved markets the win rate is 68.5%, lifetime P&L +$4,914. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $3,892 · 91¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $905 · 87¢ → 91¢
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No · $468 · 52¢ → 94¢
• Anduril IPO before 2027?No · $98 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $96 · 91¢ → 96¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $57 · 5¢ → 6¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $41 · 18¢ → 14¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $36 · 81¢ → 72¢
• Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?Yes · $7 · 26¢ → 11¢
• Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $7 · 1¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · +$19 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · +$11 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$100 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$12 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$670 · Sep 16, 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · +$100 · Sep 16, 2026

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