Grouchy-Plate · Polymarket wallet 0x6876…e13c

Wallet snapshot

Grouchy-Plate has made 23 trades on Polymarket across 16 markets, $51 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and economics (20%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 80%, lifetime P&L -$0. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $6 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $3 · 80¢ → 94¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?Yes · $2 · 100¢ → 98¢
• Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No · $2 · 65¢ → 72¢
• Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No · $1 · 98¢ → 96¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes · $1 · 50¢ → 36¢

Latest closed positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No · +$0 · May 13, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · May 13, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.