Alarmed-Beastie · Polymarket wallet 0x67c2…e23e

Wallet snapshot

Alarmed-Beastie has made 454 trades on Polymarket across 179 markets, $4,274 in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (12%). On 171 resolved markets the win rate is 71.3%, lifetime P&L -$18. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Jul 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $2 · 90¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$0 · Jul 14, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes · +$0 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes · +$2 · Jun 23, 2026
• Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes · +$5 · May 21, 2026
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes · +$2 · May 1, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes · +$0 · May 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes · -$8 · May 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes · +$1 · Apr 30, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No · $0 · Apr 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.