M.Carney · Polymarket wallet 0x6520…cf00

Wallet snapshot

M.Carney has made 2,743 trades on Polymarket across 119 markets, $75K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and crypto (14%). On 110 resolved markets the win rate is 61.8%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $15K · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes · $203 · 4¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · +$179 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · +$8 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $0 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $0 · Jul 28, 2026
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes · -$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes · -$0 · Jul 24, 2026
• Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?No · -$167 · Jul 24, 2026
• Over $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?Yes · -$24 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes · -$3 · Jul 24, 2026
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Yes · -$2 · Jul 24, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.