shakashi · Polymarket wallet 0x6204…2167

Wallet snapshot

shakashi has made 97 trades on Polymarket across 66 markets, $772 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (52%) and crypto (14%). On 53 resolved markets the win rate is 67.9%. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $17 · 70¢ → 83¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $9 · 78¢ → 86¢
• Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes · $8 · 70¢ → 85¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No · $7 · 73¢ → 78¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $7 · 61¢ → 62¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $7 · 62¢ → 60¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No · $6 · 71¢ → 71¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $6 · 72¢ → 71¢

Latest closed positions

• Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?No · -$4 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$3 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No · -$2 · Sep 26, 2026
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No · +$2 · Sep 7, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$2 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes · -$12 · Aug 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.