found.alpha · Polymarket wallet 0x5fd8…7100

Wallet snapshot

found.alpha has made 2,248 trades on Polymarket across 144 markets, $50K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (92%). On 139 resolved markets the win rate is 61.2%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: May 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 46¢ → 84¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $14 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · $8 · 50¢ → 16¢
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $0 · 3¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?Yes · -$122 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$381 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Yes · -$87 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?Yes · -$23 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?No · +$12 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?No · +$6 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No · +$9 · May 25, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No · +$64 · May 21, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?No · +$31 · May 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.