cdecercwd · Polymarket wallet 0x5d2d…d535

+$228 lifetime P&L · 60% win rate · 45 resolved markets · 0x5d2d8562ec0c97be1eed9e30d28960192ca8d535

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Wallet snapshot

cdecercwd has made 641 trades on Polymarket across 63 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in politics (13%). On 45 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$228. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $428 · 85¢ → 86¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $413 · 83¢ → 83¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $412 · 81¢ → 83¢
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No · $380 · 79¢ → 76¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No · $378 · 77¢ → 76¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $368 · 75¢ → 74¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $368 · 74¢ → 74¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · $365 · 71¢ → 73¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $358 · 72¢ → 72¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $358 · 79¢ → 72¢

Latest closed positions

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $0 · Oct 12, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes · -$10 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Yes · $0 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

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