Polymarket wallet 0x58c7…48fc

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x58c7…48fc has made 151 trades on Polymarket across 88 markets, $280 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (18%) and economics (11%). On 77 resolved markets the win rate is 61%, lifetime P&L -$1. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No · $1 · 45¢ → 36¢
• Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · $1 · 43¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$2 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$2 · Sep 16, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.