Tech/AIResolved
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$10.4K
840 trades
Smart Whales
140
of 415 traders · 8 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
91 YESvs57 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 81 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $362 is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $159·NO $187YES Team
Total Invested
$283
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+23.6%)
Whales
91
R
realchesta🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·201.1 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $106 · WR 67.9%
M
maxkisel🥈
Entry 49¢·82 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $40 · WR 67.9%
R
real-hero-himmel🥉
Entry 38¢·100 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $38 · WR 77.7%
K
kl1v
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 81.3%
0
0x02e82e3b...
Entry 41¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.9%
0
0x030da2da...hedged
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
0
0x04033089...hedged
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.8%
0
0x0f75a34f...
Entry 40¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.8%
1
0x11e45286...
Entry 42¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.4%
1
0x19e2cd8e...
Entry 47¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 91
NO Team
Total Invested
$224
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$159(-71.2%)
Whales
57
B
BrownBees◆Proven🥇
Entry 63¢·215.7 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $136 · WR 60.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 2¢·650.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 72.2%
R
realchesta🥉hedged
Entry 7¢·107.2 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 67.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 81¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 68.9%
D
dedidanc◆Proven
Entry 0¢·4,601.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 62.1%
0
0x01896a6d...
Entry 63¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.7%
0
0x030da2da...hedged
Entry 61¢·1.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.3%
0
0x04033089...hedged
Entry 55¢·1.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.8%
0
0x05bb428a...
Entry 61¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
0
0x0a222092...
Entry 63¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 57
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