Close-Dogwood · Polymarket wallet 0x600a…bd08

Wallet snapshot

Close-Dogwood has made 55 trades on Polymarket across 23 markets, $2,188 in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and tech (13%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 58.3%, lifetime P&L -$57. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? ". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No · $294 · 63¢ → 38¢
• Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?Yes · $112 · 69¢ → 77¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes · $48 · 33¢ → 21¢
• Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · $26 · 68¢ → 50¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$43 · Nov 4, 2026
• Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$6 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Yes · +$44 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?No · +$17 · Oct 4, 2026
• Next GPT Sol (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$8 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No · -$3 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes · +$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes · -$142 · Sep 16, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · +$2 · Sep 13, 2026

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