Polymarket wallet 0x1492…a04e

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1492…a04e has made 250 trades on Polymarket across 131 markets, $419 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (14%) and economics (12%). On 119 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L +$11. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?No · $1 · 63¢ → 81¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes · $1 · 45¢ → 46¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?No · $1 · 73¢ → 72¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?No · $1 · 71¢ → 61¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?Yes · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?No · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?No · -$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026

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