grandvalira · Polymarket wallet 0x53c4…9522

+$5,689 lifetime P&L · 56.8% win rate · 44 resolved markets · 0x53c4eb97b8ad17727a4657c8252c73eb4d879522

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Wallet snapshot

grandvalira has made 475 trades on Polymarket across 55 markets, $26K in volume. Most of it is in tech (51%) and economics (22%). On 44 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%, lifetime P&L +$5,689. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?No · $303 · 81¢ → 87¢
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes · $293 · 31¢ → 31¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?No · $131 · 93¢ → 94¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $25 · 14¢ → 11¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes · $18 · 2¢ → 2¢
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · $15 · 5¢ → 4¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" during "60 Minutes" extended interview?No · $10 · 68¢ → 49¢
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Yes · $9 · 7¢ → 7¢
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes · $5 · 11¢ → 10¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?No · $4 · 2¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · +$7 · Nov 8, 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · +$1,573 · Oct 31, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · +$4,379 · Oct 31, 2026
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes · +$114 · Sep 22, 2026
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?No · +$30 · Sep 18, 2026
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes · +$57 · Sep 18, 2026

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