Polymarket wallet 0x5169…6a1f

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x5169…6a1f has made 120 trades on Polymarket across 57 markets, $134 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (11%). On 54 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No · $2 · 48¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
• SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?No · -$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?No · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.