CARXE · Polymarket wallet 0x511d…3633

Wallet snapshot

CARXE has made 1,396 trades on Polymarket across 449 markets, $125K in volume. Most of it is in sports (83%). On 419 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L -$1,003. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2,475 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $1,825 · 76¢ → 75¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $1,401 · 83¢ → 88¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No · $1,239 · 88¢ → 93¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No · $1,125 · 79¢ → 94¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $660 · 72¢ → 83¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $595 · 90¢ → 92¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $495 · 62¢ → 83¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · $433 · 0¢ → 87¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $383 · 91¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerNo · +$34 · Oct 12, 2026
• Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$6 · Oct 12, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · -$29 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Spread: Rams (-3.5)Yes · +$50 · Oct 4, 2026

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