refzer · Polymarket wallet 0x4b2f…1627

Wallet snapshot

refzer has made 1,246 trades on Polymarket across 65 markets, $2.9M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and crypto (32%). On 63 resolved markets the win rate is 95.2%, lifetime P&L +$25K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 6, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $42K · 95¢ → 96¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $1,899 · 90¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Iran leadership change by August 31?No · +$397 · Sep 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No · +$787 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$119 · Aug 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by July 31?No · +$20 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No · +$260 · Aug 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No · +$1,082 · Aug 1, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No · +$46 · Aug 1, 2026
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No · +$534 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$107 · Aug 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.