luceas · Polymarket wallet 0x4a8e…a8ef

Wallet snapshot

luceas has made 201 trades on Polymarket across 72 markets, $41K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (65%) and economics (24%). On 70 resolved markets the win rate is 97.1%, lifetime P&L +$167. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $15 · 8¢ → 96¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $1 · 97¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$18 · Sep 2, 2026
• Trump out as President by August 31?No · +$0 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$13 · Jul 14, 2026
• Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$13 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No · +$142 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jun 17, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$6 · Jun 17, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.