2CDEF · Polymarket wallet 0x4955…a93b

Wallet snapshot

2CDEF has made 270 trades on Polymarket across 45 markets, $36K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (53%) and economics (27%). On 43 resolved markets the win rate is 90.7%. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $1,283 · 5¢ → 96¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $51 · 93¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Aug 28, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$17 · Aug 12, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$11 · Jul 1, 2026
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jun 25, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$3 · Jun 24, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$2 · Jun 23, 2026
• Trump out as President by May 31?No · +$7 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No · +$10 · May 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No · +$18 · May 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.