notgoodluck · Polymarket wallet 0x413f…47f3

Wallet snapshot

notgoodluck has made 8,863 trades on Polymarket across 456 markets, $2.5M in volume. Most of it is in sports (61%) and geopolitics (12%). On 434 resolved markets the win rate is 62%, lifetime P&L -$157K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Nov 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $14K · 94¢ → 96¢
• Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group DYes · $5,080 · 94¢ → 100¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $4,982 · 74¢ → 100¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $3,922 · 70¢ → 78¢
• Games Total: O/U 3.5Yes · $2,133 · 72¢ → 73¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Yes · $1,576 · 2¢ → 93¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $126 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes · $57 · 2¢ → 5¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $37 · 98¢ → 96¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes · $3 · 30¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BYes · +$4,879 · Nov 12, 2026
• Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BYes · -$5,850 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Yes · -$2,150 · Nov 10, 2026
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes · -$2,967 · Nov 9, 2026
• Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)No · +$3,000 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?Yes · +$5,699 · Nov 9, 2026
• Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?Yes · +$7,678 · Nov 8, 2026

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