FortunatelyFestive · Polymarket wallet 0x3caf…6d8a

Wallet snapshot

FortunatelyFestive has made 2,594 trades on Polymarket across 204 markets, $1.4M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (47%) and politics (19%). On 179 resolved markets the win rate is 86%, lifetime P&L +$68K. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will GameStop acquire eBay?". Last trade: Aug 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $1,522 · 86¢ → 93¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1,139 · 77¢ → 85¢
• Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes · $860 · 43¢ → 72¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $258 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $144 · 79¢ → 12¢
• Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No · $116 · 80¢ → 93¢
• NATO article 5 before 2027?No · $100 · 96¢ → 95¢
• Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes · $98 · 18¢ → 18¢
• Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes · $61 · 47¢ → 6¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes · $29 · 90¢ → 12¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$35 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$199 · Oct 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$12 · Oct 1, 2026
• Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No · +$16 · Aug 20, 2026
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No · +$1,490 · Aug 3, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$27 · Jul 31, 2026
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.