Tan-Trapdoor · Polymarket wallet 0x3be2…e7a0

Wallet snapshot

Tan-Trapdoor has made 214 trades on Polymarket across 102 markets, $14K in volume. Most of it is in politics (69%) and geopolitics (15%). On 86 resolved markets the win rate is 66.3%, lifetime P&L +$140. It holds 15 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Jul 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $552 · 66¢ → 91¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $359 · 82¢ → 98¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $224 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $150 · 63¢ → 95¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $148 · 49¢ → 73¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $114 · 86¢ → 98¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $109 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $107 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $92 · 77¢ → 71¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $52 · 70¢ → 73¢

Latest closed positions

• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No · +$85 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No · +$17 · Jun 28, 2026
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes · +$4 · Jun 24, 2026
• Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes · +$25 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes · +$241 · May 27, 2026
• Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes · +$122 · Feb 28, 2026
• Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

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