surfing · Polymarket wallet 0x3b4a…07fb

Wallet snapshot

surfing has made 977 trades on Polymarket across 116 markets, $366K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and politics (16%). On 108 resolved markets the win rate is 62%, lifetime P&L +$1,074. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $4,584 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $3,211 · 80¢ → 85¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $358 · 53¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · -$156 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$156 · Aug 31, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes · +$376 · Jul 11, 2026
• Netanyahu out by June 30?No · +$120 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$396 · Jul 11, 2026
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No · +$52 · Jul 11, 2026
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No · +$40 · Apr 1, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes · -$26 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No · +$192 · Apr 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No · +$102 · Apr 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.