Hermnann · Polymarket wallet 0x3285…f63d

Wallet snapshot

Hermnann has made 355 trades on Polymarket across 103 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and politics (16%). On 67 resolved markets the win rate is 61.2%, lifetime P&L -$312. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x Japan military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $753 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $508 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No · $386 · 96¢ → 93¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $309 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $203 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $48 · 83¢ → 80¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes · $42 · 73¢ → 11¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes · $36 · 24¢ → 28¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $33 · 64¢ → 11¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $19 · 18¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$70 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?No · -$20 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · +$35 · Sep 20, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 20, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · -$14 · Aug 29, 2026
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes · -$291 · Aug 12, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

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