Polymarket wallet 0x31ad…cac1

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x31ad…cac1 has made 87 trades on Polymarket across 56 markets, $1,249 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (29%) and politics (20%). On 37 resolved markets the win rate is 83.8%. It holds 19 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Aug 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $308 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No · $77 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $63 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Yes · $49 · 12¢ → 4¢
• Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No · $27 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $18 · 88¢ → 98¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes · $14 · 11¢ → 6¢
• New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No · $4 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No · $4 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 52¢ → 49¢

Latest closed positions

• Trump out as President by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Apr 22, 2026
• Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes · -$8 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes · -$12 · Apr 16, 2026
• DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes · -$2 · Apr 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?Yes · +$0 · Apr 16, 2026
• Netanyahu arrested by March 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.