Polymarket wallet 0x2a15…f2a3

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x2a15…f2a3 has made 3,379 trades on Polymarket across 1,110 markets, $9,232 in volume. Most of it is in sports (61%) and politics (15%). On 1,080 resolved markets the win rate is 57.9%, lifetime P&L -$86. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? ". Last trade: Sep 17, 2026.

Largest open positions

• New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No · $6 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No · $2 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 73¢ → 96¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 5¢ → 6¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1 · 78¢ → 91¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $1 · 86¢ → 95¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $1 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?Yes · $1 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No · $1 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes · -$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · -$2 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Yes · +$0 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?No · +$0 · Sep 17, 2026
• Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?Yes · -$1 · Sep 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.