Boiling-Discovery · Polymarket wallet 0x2858…49f3

Wallet snapshot

Boiling-Discovery has made 411 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $4,321 in volume. Most of it is in sports (40%) and geopolitics (30%). On 78 resolved markets the win rate is 71.8%, lifetime P&L -$102. It holds 22 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US x China Military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x China Military clash before 2027?No · $20 · 98¢ → 97¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $20 · 97¢ → 96¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $20 · 97¢ → 96¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $14 · 85¢ → 83¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $5 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes · $5 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $3 · 83¢ → 86¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 77¢ → 72¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No · $3 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 88¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Epstein client list released by June 30?No · -$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$12 · Jul 1, 2026
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Jun 22, 2026
• Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes · +$8 · Jun 11, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Yes · +$7 · Jun 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETYes · +$1 · Jun 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETNo · -$8 · Jun 9, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.