Carefree-Heirloom · Polymarket wallet 0x236c…cfd0

56.3% win rate · 16 resolved markets · 0x236cc6d6ce8c4ecdc958872fb07b09e5c1a4cfd0

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

Carefree-Heirloom has made 410 trades on Polymarket across 25 markets, $2,146 in volume. Most of it is in politics (48%) and geopolitics (20%). On 16 resolved markets the win rate is 56.3%. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: May 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $48 · 54¢ → 48¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $17 · 63¢ → 85¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $6 · 43¢ → 29¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $3 · 1¢ → 0¢
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes · $0 · 46¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · +$5 · Apr 18, 2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Yes · +$9 · Feb 3, 2026
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Jan 11, 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes · +$6 · Jan 11, 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes · +$3 · Jan 3, 2026
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes · +$38 · Dec 10, 2025
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.