Alex.P · Polymarket wallet 0x22d6…f8b3

Wallet snapshot

Alex.P has made 1,005 trades on Polymarket across 287 markets, $385K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (77%) and politics (9%). On 249 resolved markets the win rate is 64.3%, lifetime P&L +$104. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?". Last trade: Aug 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No · $132 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $59 · 65¢ → 84¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $4 · 11¢ → 8¢
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes · $2 · 16¢ → 5¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$13 · Oct 5, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$5 · Sep 9, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No · +$2 · Sep 3, 2026
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes · +$6 · Sep 1, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$9 · Aug 19, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No · +$4 · Aug 18, 2026
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes · -$33 · Aug 7, 2026
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No · -$3 · Aug 7, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · -$10 · Aug 7, 2026

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