risk.reward · Polymarket wallet 0x210c…2eda

Wallet snapshot

risk.reward has made 13,621 trades on Polymarket across 736 markets, $175K in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and geopolitics (17%). On 722 resolved markets the win rate is 69%, lifetime P&L +$2,154. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Feb 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $301 · 89¢ → 97¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $3 · 60¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$2 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$3 · Oct 5, 2026
• Trump out as President before GTA VI?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?No · +$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Jul 1, 2026
• Macron out by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$13 · Jun 30, 2026

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