Farnborough · Polymarket wallet 0x129c…f101

Wallet snapshot

Farnborough has made 41 trades on Polymarket across 24 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in sports (46%) and geopolitics (32%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%, lifetime P&L +$260. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $5 · 83¢ → 84¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $2 · 95¢ → 95¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?No · $0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?No · $0 · Jun 30, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · -$0 · May 29, 2026
• Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)No · +$52 · May 19, 2026
• Will Alberta join the US? No · $0 · May 18, 2026
• Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)No · +$24 · May 18, 2026
• Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · May 15, 2026
• Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)No · +$30 · May 15, 2026
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No · +$2 · May 14, 2026
• Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)No · +$18 · May 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.