neihaole · Polymarket wallet 0x121c…ad45

Wallet snapshot

neihaole has made 153 trades on Polymarket across 65 markets, $25K in volume. Most of it is in tech (37%) and politics (35%). On 62 resolved markets the win rate is 75.8%, lifetime P&L +$47. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Oct 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $50 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $50 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $5 · 52¢ → 49¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$4 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 31, 2026
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes · +$2 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No · +$0 · Jul 4, 2026

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