Polymarket wallet 0x0d3d…ce3d

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x0d3d…ce3d has made 295 trades on Polymarket across 184 markets, $479 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (11%) and economics (10%). On 171 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$18. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?No · $2 · 45¢ → 89¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?No · $1 · 68¢ → 98¢
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Yes · $1 · 44¢ → 55¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?No · $1 · 80¢ → 85¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · $1 · 75¢ → 71¢
• Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes · $1 · 44¢ → 41¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $1 · 23¢ → 16¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?Yes · -$1 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No · +$3 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.