Aq4ExePrd22Jn · Polymarket wallet 0x0cba…92d3

Wallet snapshot

Aq4ExePrd22Jn has made 1,865 trades on Polymarket across 53 markets, $618K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (60%) and tech (13%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 87.8%, lifetime P&L -$15K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $44K · 86¢ → 85¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · $19K · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $11K · 94¢ → 98¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $8,799 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $8,263 · 95¢ → 96¢
• NATO article 5 before 2027?No · $7,898 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No · $5,743 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No · $4,675 · 89¢ → 94¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $2,076 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?No · $42 · 87¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$976 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Yes · +$17 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$613 · Oct 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$142 · Oct 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 1, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$212 · Sep 9, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.