atai · Polymarket wallet 0x09bb…75b9

Wallet snapshot

atai has made 1,646 trades on Polymarket across 108 markets, $224K in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and sports (15%). On 100 resolved markets the win rate is 91%, lifetime P&L +$1,370. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No · $2,107 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $580 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Is Earth flat?No · $237 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $206 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $118 · 84¢ → 91¢
• Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No · $99 · 99¢ → 99¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $58 · 88¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$35 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$4 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes · +$19 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Yes · +$0 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No · +$11 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$101 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.