Polymarket wallet 0x0394…c5c2

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x0394…c5c2 has made 127 trades on Polymarket across 127 markets, $177 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (18%) and sports (9%). On 114 resolved markets the win rate is 56.1%, lifetime P&L +$11. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 13, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 13, 2026?No · $1 · 24¢ → 23¢
• Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?No · $1 · 66¢ → 54¢
• Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Yes · $0 · 25¢ → 11¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?No · $0 · 76¢ → 22¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?Yes · $0 · 66¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?No · +$2 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?Yes · +$3 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.