Resolved
Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.3K
282 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 141 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs19 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $102 is directional: YES $31·NO $71YES Team
Total Invested
$442
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$414(-93.7%)
Whales
12
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 51¢·536.4 shares·also $299 on NO
Invested
$274
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-274
$-274INV $274 · WR 87.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 65¢·200 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $130 · WR 57.6%
J
JonnyA◆Proven🥉
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 · WR 64.1%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 48¢·15 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 55.5%
F
0xf2ab6d6d...
Entry 67¢·3.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
E
0xe81c6eaf...
Entry 68¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.0%
8
0x8ff49d3d...
Entry 67¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.4%
8
0x81ec7b9f...
Entry 67¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.1%
F
0xf74fab9f...
Entry 69¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.4%
5
0x58aaaef8...
Entry 68¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$712
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$511(+71.7%)
Whales
19
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·484.5 shares·also $274 on YES
Invested
$299
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $299 · WR 87.2%
Q
QbertRules◆Proven🥈
Entry 48¢·543.1 shares
Invested
$262
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$281
+$281INV $262 · WR 62.9%
9
0x91659bab...🥉
Entry 35¢·146.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $51 · WR 68.8%
P
Prize-Obi◆Proven
Entry 50¢·78 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $39 · WR 60.0%
K
Kactus
Entry 71¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $17 · WR 74.9%
J
johnashboughhedged
Entry 80¢·15 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 55.5%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 45¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 66.6%
-
-Dominus-◆Proven
Entry 143¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 76.0%
5
0x58e6390a...
Entry 36¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.7%
D
0xd299717e...
Entry 35¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.7%
Showing top 10 of 19
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