PoliticsResolved
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
YES Price
100Ā¢
100% implied
NO Price
0Ā¢
0% implied
Volume
$723.7K
5,674 trades
Smart Whales
177
of 1,364 traders
Smart Money Consensus
85 YESvs92 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars Ā· 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $3.4K is directional: YES $0Ā·NO $3.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$88.3K
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.8K(+12.2%)
Whales
85
O
Ordonš„
Entry 98Ā¢Ā·35,633.2 shares
Invested
$35.0K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$591
+$591INV $35.0K Ā· WR 88.2%
B
bearbees2š„
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·9,391 shares
Invested
$9.4K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9.4K Ā· WR 86.5%
X
xenonliuš„
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·7,528.6 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $7.5K Ā· WR 60.8%
W
wigglew
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·3,794.7 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $3.8K Ā· WR 71.8%
N
notawinner99
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·3,710.4 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3.7K Ā· WR 82.1%
A
agagyu
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·3,427.7 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3.4K Ā· WR 87.4%
E
easterpink
Entry 95Ā¢Ā·3,519.7 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $3.3K Ā· WR 59.7%
T
Trim-Caution
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·3,120 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3.1K Ā· WR 90.5%
P
Private-Pantologist
Entry 100Ā¢Ā·3,064.6 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $3.1K Ā· WR 81.3%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·2,383.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $2.4K Ā· WR 90.5%
Showing top 10 of 85
NO Team
Total Invested
$26.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.8K(-87.0%)
Whales
92
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyš„
Entry 85Ā¢Ā·8,976 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-7669
$-7669INV $7.7K Ā· WR 57.7%
S
ScottyNoooš„hedged
Entry 84Ā¢Ā·4,953.2 sharesĀ·also $958 on YES
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-4161
$-4161INV $4.2K Ā· WR 56.0%
C
Carš„hedged
Entry 48Ā¢Ā·5,008.2 sharesĀ·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-2390
$-2390INV $2.4K Ā· WR 64.9%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·3,311.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1653
$-1653INV $1.7K Ā· WR 60.0%
H
Huludubu
Entry 65Ā¢Ā·1,681.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1100
$-1100INV $1.1K Ā· WR 65.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 81Ā¢Ā·1,246.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1014
$-1014INV $1.0K Ā· WR 70.5%
R
RememberAmalekāProven
Entry 71Ā¢Ā·1,000 shares
Invested
$710
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-710
$-710INV $710 Ā· WR 64.4%
U
Umaroth
Entry 67Ā¢Ā·1,000 shares
Invested
$670
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-670
$-670INV $670 Ā· WR 60.6%
R
Required-Spit
Entry 90Ā¢Ā·705 shares
Invested
$635
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-635
$-635INV $635 Ā· WR 70.0%
I
Ithinkthisisgodfan
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $500 Ā· WR 62.2%
Showing top 10 of 92
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