Geopolitics80 days left
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$335.6K
4,797 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 945 traders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $7.52M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
17¢+17¢$209.9K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢
$209.9K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
5¢+21¢$359.1K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+21¢5¢
$359.1K13/37
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
100¢−50¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−50¢100¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
72¢−19¢$15.1K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−19¢72¢
$15.1K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
23¢+17¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢23¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
87¢−12¢$2533/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−12¢87¢
$2533/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
54¢—$1830/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—54¢
$1830/0
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Smart Money Consensus
51 YESvs53 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%
+3 new YES$70+2 new NO$9
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.8K is directional: YES $4.6K·NO $7.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.0K(+42.8%)
Whales
51
F
fElon🥇
Entry 88¢·2,782.3 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $2.4K · WR 89.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥈
Entry 91¢·885.1 shares
Invested
$807
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $807 · WR 68.2%
S
studmuffin6969🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·1,013.7 shares·also $416 on NO
Invested
$595
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$368
+$368INV $595 · WR 60.0%
O
Odysseus7hedged
Entry 43¢·1,320.9 shares·also $723 on NO
Invested
$570
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$684
+$684INV $570 · WR 68.9%
Y
Y4n4pol
Entry 82¢·683.2 shares
Invested
$561
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $561 · WR 70.6%
L
LosingEverything12312312323123◆Proven
Entry 64¢·397.9 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $253 · WR 73.1%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 25¢·640.1 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$448
+$448INV $161 · WR 56.3%
W
Witty-Birch
Entry 92¢·172 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $159 · WR 64.7%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 58¢·200 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $116 · WR 73.8%
C
ChetterHumminhedged
Entry 42¢·256.8 shares·also $167 on NO
Invested
$108
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $108 · WR 62.6%
Showing top 10 of 51
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.9K(-84.1%)
Whales
53
R
Rr55◆Proven🥇
Entry 67¢·2,814 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1738
$-1738INV $1.9K · WR 73.2%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·3,793.2 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-1401
$-1401INV $1.6K · WR 64.4%
R
Ricpb🥉
Entry 62¢·2,262.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-1294
$-1294INV $1.4K · WR 64.8%
M
Miojinho
Entry 52¢·2,679.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-1259
$-1259INV $1.4K · WR 61.4%
O
Odysseus7hedged
Entry 55¢·1,320.9 shares·also $570 on YES
Invested
$723
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-657
$-657INV $723 · WR 68.9%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 41¢·1,013.7 shares·also $595 on YES
Invested
$416
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-366
$-366INV $416 · WR 60.0%
J
Jest55◆Proven
Entry 74¢·543 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-377
$-377INV $404 · WR 83.3%
A
albert.00
Entry 84¢·237.1 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $200 · WR 69.0%
C
ChetterHumminhedged
Entry 65¢·256.8 shares·also $108 on YES
Invested
$167
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-154
$-154INV $167 · WR 62.6%
-
-Motionless-
Entry 42¢·355.9 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $150 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 53
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