YES Price
99¢
99% implied
NO Price
1¢
1% implied
Volume
$13.0K
606 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 169 traders
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 MARKETS · $38.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+33¢$6683/6Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+33¢0¢
$6683/6
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+11¢$3.7K2/17Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+11¢0¢
$3.7K2/17
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
0¢+13¢$5.7K3/20Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026+13¢0¢
$5.7K3/20
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
0¢+18¢$8.6K6/27Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026+18¢0¢
$8.6K6/27
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs25 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$340+3 new NO$5
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.5K is directional: YES $2.5K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+47.4%)
Whales
12
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven🥇
Entry 70¢·2,277 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$643
+$643INV $1.6K · WR 70.0%
J
johnsalchichon🥈
Entry 98¢·472.5 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $465 · WR 62.9%
G
gambler925🥉
Entry 68¢·460.8 shares
Invested
$315
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $315 · WR 56.9%
R
Redeemm
Entry 51¢·549.9 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$261
+$261INV $282 · WR 55.8%
Q
QR1hedged
Entry 38¢·610.3 shares·also $132 on NO
Invested
$233
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $233 · WR 61.6%
J
johnpudricion
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
91.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 91.2%
N
neverhackmehedged
Entry 77¢·40 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$31
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $31 · WR 75.6%
A
akrollhedged
Entry 79¢·18.6 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 86.3%
A
Arid-Pagoda
Entry 49¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $12 · WR 73.2%
H
hgr1
Entry 65¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$566
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$524(-92.7%)
Whales
25
Q
QR1🥇hedged
Entry 106¢·124.2 shares·also $233 on YES
Invested
$132
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $132 · WR 61.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 35¢·259.2 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $92 · WR 72.1%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 27¢·235 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $63 · WR 89.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 26¢·176.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $46 · WR 87.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 30¢·142.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $43 · WR 84.4%
G
glm4.1.fund
Entry 36¢·90 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $33 · WR 85.9%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $27 · WR 68.5%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone
Entry 79¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 78.4%
N
neverhackmehedged
Entry 28¢·80 shares·also $31 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 75.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 45¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 25
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