YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$6.4K
364 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 94 traders
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 MARKETS · $22.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢0¢$4040/7Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 20260¢0¢
$4040/7
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+10¢$2.6K1/9Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+10¢0¢
$2.6K1/9
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
2¢−2¢$3.9K0/14Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026−2¢2¢
$3.9K0/14
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026←
20¢−5¢$6.4K2/11Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026←−5¢20¢
$6.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs14 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$100+20 new NO$558
$89 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $221 is directional: YES $46·NO $175YES Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
60.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-23.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$559
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$144(+25.7%)
Whales
14
D
dedidanc◆Proven🥇
Entry 65¢·261.9 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $171 · WR 62.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 55¢·180 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $98 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 72¢·120 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $86 · WR 69.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·101.1 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $69 · WR 79.6%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 59¢·63 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $37 · WR 82.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 85¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $34 · WR 79.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 81¢·16 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 84.5%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 68¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $11 · WR 74.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 48¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 72.2%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 80.3%
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