YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$5.5K
325 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 93 traders
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
6 MARKETS · $22.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢0¢$4040/7Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 20260¢0¢
$4040/7
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026
0¢+10¢$2.6K1/9Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026+10¢0¢
$2.6K1/9
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
2¢−2¢$3.9K0/14Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026−2¢2¢
$3.9K0/14
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026
19¢−4¢$6.4K2/11Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026−4¢19¢
$6.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs11 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$1.6K+26 new NO$453
$479 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $352 is directional: YES $346·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$533
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-1.6%)
Whales
7
Q
QR1🥇
Entry 63¢·517.2 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $324 · WR 62.9%
B
BigAII◆Proven🥈
Entry 82¢·220 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $181 · WR 70.9%
H
hgr1🥉
Entry 65¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 59.3%
A
Arid-Pagoda
Entry 49¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 69.0%
H
Hazel1122hedged
Entry 36¢·20 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 55.8%
O
ogi250
Entry 65¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
M
Majas
Entry 64¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 67.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$168
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-24.3%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 47¢·98.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $46 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 36¢·90 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $33 · WR 85.9%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca🥉
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $27 · WR 67.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 74¢·28.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $21 · WR 85.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 82.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 71¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 66.8%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 35¢·8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 84.5%
H
Hazel1122hedged
Entry 11¢·20 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 55.8%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 843ms