Resolved
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$199.7K
2,955 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 735 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
84 YESvs22 NO
79%21%
79% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 75 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$0 of $17.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17.5K·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$34.3K
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.2K(+9.4%)
Whales
84
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 92¢·16,163.3 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1272
+$1272INV $14.9K · WR 77.3%
M
Musk5🥈
Entry 95¢·13,993.5 shares
Invested
$13.3K
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$617
+$617INV $13.3K · WR 71.9%
L
LulaVaiPerder🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·2,156.5 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$820
+$820INV $1.3K · WR 75.2%
B
bmmmm4
Entry 89¢·1,250.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $1.1K · WR 88.2%
C
charlatta
Entry 99¢·800 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $796 · WR 87.3%
C
completedegen
Entry 100¢·502 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $500 · WR 81.5%
K
knrad◆Proven
Entry 97¢·499.2 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $485 · WR 77.1%
E
Economista
Entry 77¢·630.4 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $485 · WR 56.1%
X
xcaiox
Entry 94¢·425.1 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $401 · WR 76.6%
4
0x4749ca84...
Entry 85¢·119.1 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $101 · WR 64.1%
Showing top 10 of 84
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-80.0%)
Whales
22
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·585.7 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$582
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-582
$-582INV $582 · WR 57.9%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥈
Entry 113¢·454.2 shares
Invested
$511
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-511
$-511INV $511 · WR 70.5%
D
DiaMat🥉
Entry 35¢·1,030 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-360
$-360INV $360 · WR 86.1%
T
Threadbare-Signal
Entry 9¢·1,265 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $112 · WR 60.2%
L
LulaVaiPerderhedged
Entry 2¢·1,918.6 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 75.2%
6
65765757
Entry 2¢·1,149.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 78.2%
L
litigation
Entry 15¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 55.1%
U
Urano
Entry 26¢·12 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 66.7%
P
Punctual-Sustainment
Entry 23¢·13 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 57.1%
U
Unaware1
Entry 1¢·206.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.8%
Showing top 10 of 22
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