GeopoliticsResolved
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$105.8K
2,596 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 446 traders
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
2 MARKETS · $125.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs35 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $101·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.7K(-99.9%)
Whales
23
B
bipbipbop🥇
Entry 34¢·4,590.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-1551
$-1551INV $1.6K · WR 72.6%
P
paddaa🥈hedged
Entry 24¢·2,501.6 shares·also $806 on NO
Invested
$602
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-602
$-602INV $602 · WR 61.1%
C
Car🥉
Entry 20¢·800 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-159
$-159INV $159 · WR 64.9%
T
tja◆Proven
Entry 24¢·484.9 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $115 · WR 74.1%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 33¢·157.8 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 56.0%
T
theta-thunberg
Entry 70¢·69 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 56.4%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 32¢·120.9 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 59.0%
F
fgdhdghrthr
Entry 35¢·87.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 62.4%
A
AJK2
Entry 41¢·72.7 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 78.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 23¢·79 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+22.4%)
Whales
35
M
Mr-Krabs◆Proven🥇
Entry 84¢·10,442.4 shares
Invested
$8.8K
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$1680
+$1680INV $8.8K · WR 78.7%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven🥈
Entry 98¢·1,574 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $1.5K · WR 90.9%
P
paddaa🥉hedged
Entry 62¢·1,300 shares·also $602 on YES
Invested
$806
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$494
+$494INV $806 · WR 61.1%
S
Serpentine-Majority◆Proven
Entry 81¢·865 shares
Invested
$700
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $700 · WR 79.1%
G
GabiFP◆Proven
Entry 71¢·843.6 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $600 · WR 80.4%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 73¢·770 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$205
+$205INV $560 · WR 62.6%
P
Prinas◆Proven
Entry 74¢·679.9 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $500 · WR 81.2%
H
henribloc◆Proven
Entry 79¢·381.3 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $300 · WR 76.0%
L
Luminous-Insectarium
Entry 90¢·301.1 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $270 · WR 64.4%
C
charlatta
Entry 99¢·200.6 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $199 · WR 87.3%
Showing top 10 of 35
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