Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$6.4K
290 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 73 traders
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$15+5 new NO$72
$9 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
YES Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-45.9%)
Whales
3
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 53¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $16 · WR 60.4%
G
garbagecollect4🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·11 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 68.9%
Y
yoyo424269🥉hedged
Entry 22¢·10 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 70.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$46
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+63.0%)
Whales
6
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 35¢·63.5 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $22 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 78¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 79.6%
Y
yoyo424269🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·10 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 70.4%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 26¢·11 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 68.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 34¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 83.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 57¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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