Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$2.0K
168 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 55 traders
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$48+1 new NO$28
$57 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $21 is directional: YES $21·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-5.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$85
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+43.2%)
Whales
5
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 50¢·123 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $62 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 66.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 79.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 83.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 25¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 87.7%
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