Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$6.1K
250 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 71 traders
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%
+1 new YES$4+1 new NO$14
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $5·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-9.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$112
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+33.5%)
Whales
7
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 56¢·123 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $68 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 77¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 79.6%
A
Admirable-Hobby🥉
Entry 50¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $13 · WR 82.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 83.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 81¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 68.9%
A
0xa06eb958...
Entry 77¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 57.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 18¢·4.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 87.7%
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