Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 35% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$436
52 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 28 traders
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $18.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$0+0 new NO$0
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$71
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$117(+165.1%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $26 · WR 79.6%
G
Gifted-Lining-Standing🥈
Entry 50¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 69.8%
V
Vacant-Shape🥉
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $14 · WR 78.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 66.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 83.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 1¢·63.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $1 · WR 85.9%
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