Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$998
69 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 40 traders
OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.5¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $29·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-86.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$240
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+10.0%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 91¢·93.1 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $84 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 91¢·74.5 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $68 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 87¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $44 · WR 79.6%
V
Vapid-Pompom
Entry 88¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 75.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 87.4%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 97¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 81.7%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 89¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 81.1%
L
luciebot
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 80.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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