Politics12 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$7.5K
366 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 86 traders
OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs5 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$95+6 new NO$60
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-76.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$130
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+42.7%)
Whales
5
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 63¢·134.5 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $85 · WR 85.9%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $18 · WR 81.5%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 75¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 87.6%
L
luciebot
Entry 52¢·10.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 83.2%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 78.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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